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Thread: The monty hall problem applied to trading

  1. #1

    The monty hall problem applied to trading

    1 Attachment(s) 1) the price-time-series is arbitrary
    2) entries respond to price discovery (opening a door)

    The code makes situation allowance based on price discovery (i.e. opening a door)




    The notion is to browse through the haphazard price string while retaining a good account balance.

  2. #2
    Look like martingale graph. Looking ahead for this endeavor

  3. #3
    1 Attachment(s) A random-walk with restraints via a price time-series
    The restraints are demanded by the current price chain state.


    As in the Monty Hall problem, we change door till we discover the jackpot. There's a price to changing doors. The likeness using a martingale stops here. Most Martingale strategies possess a persistent triumph and nearly endless draw down (huge risk, modest profit)



    1300 lines of code only to do this... I want a rest.

  4. #4
    2 Attachment(s) I wanted a relief valve to release the strain when opening also many Monty Hall doorways ...
    So, I uncovered this indicator:



    Whoever came up with this particular piece of applied science, thank you



    1437 lines of code, I absolutely require a rest now ...

  5. #5
    1 Attachment(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by robetorre
    I desired a relief valve to release the strain when opening way too many doors ... So, I discovered this indicator.. Whoever came up with this particular piece of applied science, thank you !
    I 've two questions.

    1. What machines part that is / is that? I suggest the entire thing in the graphic.

    2. Are you experiencing a maximum lot-size limit?

    Now you are likely to have me asking myself What do pilot controlled safety release valves need to do with trading? - Lol. I give up previously.

    Do inform.

    PS: I can inform your plan of attack is great looking at how equity remains above harmony even when erroneous doors are opened. Steady green with envy here.

  6. #6
    Hi robetorre, is it possible to talk more regarding the safety-valve launch? cant looks how to connect it in to trading, the DD from martingale is really well-know, interested how you managed to execute this safety-valve launch

    subscribed

    Thanks

  7. #7
    2 Attachment(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by robetorre
    I desired a relief valve to publish the strain when opening also many Monty Hall doorways ... So, I discovered this indicator: Whoever arrived up with this particular piece of applied science, thanks ! 1437 lines of code, I absolutely require a rest now ...
    I believe the steam-engine inventor was James Watt and following his creation a couple of others arrived along and created new attributes and advancements that resulted in the steam locomotive railway in the XIX century.

    My grandpa gave me a brass functioning design (just like the one demonstrated in the photo below) when I had been a teen and that I still have it within my treasure box stow away.



    Your analogy utilizing the safety-valve launch is outstanding. However, in trading we have to give an appropriate title to this child. Make use of this escape valve as pre set state when the 'martingale averaging down' that escape valve will probably be activated combined with the price and h AS gotten to a limit defined by the trader -time sequence.

    My stay ahead testing done this week from May 2-2 till today.


  8. #8
    1 Attachment(s) Not 100% certain but I believe I'm on course with Monty Hall swap do-or before New York State open.


  9. #9
    I'm intrigued after studying on the many evidence for the Monty Hall Problem.
    But how does one link the three doorways to setting trades?

  10. #10
    No registrado
    Guest
    How can you maintain your equity on the good aspect while averaging down? thats mad

  11. #11
    No registrado
    Guest
    Thank you for the PDF . I examine an identical post lately, I can not recall the site though.

    What occurs when price goes against you? how can you handle that? according to your own variant of averaging down, your harmony will be heading down which makes perception as the market is heading against you and as you're still opening spots you could get a margin call, which means you need to shut those orders or a T least a few of those, nevertheless, your equity is rising at the exact same minute or at least remaining on exactly the same area, not becoming influenced by this draw down. That is certainly exactly what I really don't get, how do you handle to do that?
    On a normal martingale strategy you'd be outside.
    Does this entails hedging or something like this? I'm only attempting to join the dots here.

  12. #12
    1 Attachment(s) Hi TMS traders !
    I consistently appreciate Emm's places and TMS dialogues!!

    I Have saw AU Daily chart and discovered this set up great and open a short trade ..
    It's beautiful but it is Friday ... Can I shut it or be sure that it remains through week end ..??

    Thank u all !!

  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by growthaces
    Hi TMS traders !! I appreciate the places and TMS of Emm dialogues!!! I have saw AU Daily chart and discovered this set up great and open a short trade .. It is good searching but it is Friday ... Can I shut it or be sure that it remains through week end ..?? Thank u all !! image
    you posted to the incorrect thread

  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Slaanesh
    quote you posted on the incorrect thread
    LoL!! to considerably reading !!

    Thank you !!

  15. #15
    This thread is marginally more fun than your typical homeopathic model of Batman villain fashion posts.

  16. #16
    The assumption is flawed as the Monty Hall difficulty depends on the initial door being opened that's a specific freer in order to raise the likelihood for the changed door.

  17. #17
    The Monty Hall Problem merely has a statistical edge because Monty Hall understands where the award is. He must open a do or that dosen't have the prize behind before supplying you the chance to. change remain or
    You're using Monty Halls understanding of where the award is for your advantage.

  18. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by robetorre
    1) the price-time-series is arbitrary 2) entries respond to price discovery (opening a door) The code makes situation allowance based on price discovery (i.e. opening a door) The notion is to browse through the haphazard price string while keeping a favorable account balance.
    Can somebody Kindly describe what that signifies

  19. #19
    if its arbitrary data chain then u should get different consequences for duplicated back evaluations

  20. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by Hiramrodriguez7
    if its arbitrary data chain then u should get different consequences for duplicated rear tests
    Agreed. Every backtest should give distinct effects if you entries are actually arbitrary. One may be great. The remainder rubbish. But which one?

    conclusion:
    You don't have to to implement Monty Hall to trading to be prosperous.

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