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Thread: The monty hall problem applied to trading

  1. #21
    One could attempt to backtest by starting buy and sell nedge a-T each time level, and then handling the trades by using this methodology. That way the issue about backtest results that were distinct employing a random generator seed that was diverse could be solved.
    k

  2. #22
    Quote Originally Posted by ThePatrick123
    quote Agreed. Every backtest should give distinct effects if you entrances are actually arbitrary. One may be great. The remainder rubbish. But which one? Judgment: You don't have to to implement Monty Hall to trading to be profitable.
    haphazard or not... Monty Hall sense dictates, mandates, a predetermined reasonable % win rate of 2/3 by changing doors once 1/3 of the reply is shown as the erroneous door.. The backtest of the monty corridor sport affords the exact same outcome every time. Therefore I'm not convinced when monty corridor was really running, that your again evaluation would give effects that are different.

  3. #23
    2 Attachment(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by Elcaraescombro
    Not 100% certainly but I believe I'm on course with Monty Hall substitution door before New York State open. image

    Am I performing it right? Wonder the way much floating d d was in risk and just how much is your volume improve on new places that are opening?
    and about your dynamic stop loss, how Dynamic is it? Im utilizing 2.5x ATR from the FIRST position, and maybe not shifting the SL on opening new places. its additionally from the initial standing not from 10EMA, are you able to give extra information about how are you performing it?

    Thanks!


    edit: this is entertaining while you know the trend path: (10 times trend instance /)

    what when it turns? the safety-valve launch could be activated? If overly distant but you must determine just how much can you opening doorways, since when the security os too close, it might be activated to frequently you'd give substantially more when activated. This really is the serious difficulty I belive, determine how big is your security release.

  4. #24
    Quote Originally Posted by nigade
    quote image Am I do-ing it right? Wonder the way much floating d d was in risk and just how much is your volume improve on new places that are opening? And about your stop loss that is dynamic, how Dynamic is it? Im utilizing 2.5x ATR from the FIRST place, and not shifting the SL on opening new places. its additionally from the initial place not from 10EMA, are you able to give more information regarding how are you do-ing it? Thanks! edit: this is entertaining while you know the trend path: (10 days trend instance /) what when it turns? the relief valve release...
    operate your new monster in dwell market for 1 ~ a couple of years and you'll learn a lot mo Re because the market is going to educate you on how to tame the creature.

  5. #25
    congrats robetorre. I had been thinking of how you can employ to the markets.... inquisitive how you solved it, if you care to discuss the logic.


    gt;gt;gt; M1 what's next

    i attempted to explain how I pictured it may possibly perform... is that fundamentally how you did it?

  6. #26
    It seems to possess components in typical with this strategy:

    Profitable eas and good resources

  7. #27
    1 Attachment(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by Bethkä
    How do you maintain your equity on the good aspect while averaging down? thats mad
    Do perhaps not believe of averaging down being no a very important thing thing. Simply think about the typical entry price using several trade entries when in trending, the market. Some might like to phone this Position Building.

    We were straight back-screening this past year in this thread. View this link:

    https://forexintuitive.com/6-broker-discussion/
    https://forexintuitive.com/attachmen...1496485306.pdf

  8. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by robetorre 0
    .... 1437 lines of code, I absolutely require a break now ...
    Here's your lucky break .... use table-driven logic, it permits you to feel about the difficulty without being swamped by the code.
    Or possibly a State machine, but when this really is pointless to you I propose using Cammegh - The World's Finest Roulette Wheel | Product.

    showthread.php?p=9909810#post9909810 Disliked It seems to possess components in common with this strategy: https://forexintuitive.com/5-interactive-trading/ Ignored From which maybe the best extraction is this....
    showthread.php?p=6474#post6474 Disliked If you do not place the MACD and RSI on your chart the brokers will never understand where the high or low for the day are assume to be on their graphs Ignored

  9. #29
    1 Attachment(s) It could be a bit TOO ironical if robetorre detected and shared something like this.

    Of course, he he may be a snake oil salesman.

    A History Of 'Snake Oil Salesmen' : Code Switch : NPR



    But it is much more probably he is pulling our leg.


  10. #30
    Quote Originally Posted by moniex
    It would be a a touch too ALSO ironical if robetorre detected and shared some thing like that. Of course, he he may be a snake oil salesman. A History Of 'Snake Oil Salesmen' : Code Switch : NPR image
    After I experienced moment degree scalping match and studying it intensively I certainly got a flavor of all this poop in the snake oil poster. I have identified it's all to do with peripheral blood circulation constriction (triggered by anxiety) and then when it is constricted and also you sit around all day long, the flow rate (or some comparable parameter) of blood is so that that all form of minerals, endocrine and whatever can develop up (atherosclerosis). This really doesn't appear like a trouble theoretically but since the blood supply is a tree-like structure in a way, the smallest veins and such do not enlarge enough so once they get jammed up from the persistent reduced flow state you get material like these signs and awful fat build up - the sort that physique will not use up as it is similar to junk-food and whatever capsule ingredients you have been taking while expecting to fix the anxiety state.

    After it got fairly ugly I found that merely walking and exercise may well not be very enough to give alleviation therefore you then wind up attempting yoga and massages etc that really help mo Re but I am also studying alternatives that might unclog the atherosclerosis develop but there is nevertheless the difficulty that even in the event that you do take some tablet, acquiring the un clogging components throughout the physique does not very function therefore only. So that you absolutely must do workouts massage and lots of relaxation and no tension and perhaps the tablets also (sam-e day you are performing all that) to get respite from from all that signs recorded. I'd imagine good percentage of mental health difficulties are connected to this and still another piece is related to lack or anticipations and of significance and such matters. I have come across some studies indicating that taking a lot of tablets causes develop in kidneys and so on of stuff they can not very manage (all type of pharma tablets tend to be fairly extreme dosages, it is better than chop them-and ingest tiny number over the day with refreshments if you genuinely feel need to simply take any tablets imo - I began taking some vitamins because of sleepyness/mind fog and it was actually more to do with diet and the poisonous fumes from my avocation of pocket money on affordable chinese electronic equipment. Throwing stuff such cables outdoor and fatigue and purchasing air conditioner and eating bakery goods assisted very a bit with all the brain fog. I have also read re-search that compound cleaning brokers frequent in food stores could be quite dangerous in ways that aren't mentioned in disclaimers. Mineral- wet rag and emptiness water is outstanding and your oxygen consumption goes worse and because these chem brokers make remaining traces that wind up in the lungs. Sub 40% RHumidity can be challenging as air pollutants begin to irritate lungs mo-Re a-T low-humidity).

  11. #31
    Quote Originally Posted by tufos
    quote Can some body Kindly clarify what that means
    1) Let's say the aim would be to either keep the equilibrium at breakeven or raise the equilibrium. Hence, a fall in the account harmony isn't enabled.
    2) Place an arbitrary trade (time zero; t0) in the haphazard price string ( price zero; p0)
    As the price show develop (p n); What occurs to you entry a-T t n ?
    What must happen so that 1) is never offended ?

    Some type of Martingale scheme could function as the clear solution, but consistently they consistently crash ...

  12. #32
    Quote Originally Posted by robetorre
    quote 1) Let's say the target would be to either keep the equilibrium at breakeven or raise the equilibrium. Hence, a fall in the account harmony isn't enabled. 2) Place an arbitrary trade (time zero; t0) in the haphazard price collection ( price zero; p0) As the price string develop (p n); What occurs to you entry a-T t n ? What has to happen so that 1) is never offended ? Some type of Martingale scheme could function as the clear reply, but consistently they consistently crash ...
    huh?

    what could it be that's likened to opening a do or? Choosing a trade? Substitution after a stop loss from extended to short or short to extended? martingale doubles after having a loss and swaps from extended to short or vice-versa... that isn't like opening a door(showing 1/3 of the erroneous response and a justification to change) in my head? so what exactly is likened to opening a do or(disclosing what perhaps not proper to do AND and exactly why/when to change doors and raising ones chances to win/pick accurately)?

    allows decide to try this: allows begin from your begining ..describe only what occurs: you choose a trade...does that trade have a stop loss? does it have a tp? Okay. if therefore so might there be 2 potential results.... subsequently what?


    please be certain about the manner in which you liken that to monty halls opening side?

    please be as precise as you can

    TY

  13. #33
    Quote Originally Posted by robetorre
    quote 1) Let's say the aim would be to either keep the equilibrium at breakeven or raise the equilibrium. Hence, a fall in the account harmony isn't enabled. 2) Place an arbitrary trade (time zero; t0) in the haphazard price collection ( price zero; p0) As the price string develop (p n); What occurs to you entry a-T t n ? What has to happen so that 1) is never offended ? Some type of Martingale scheme could function as the clear solution, but consistently they consistently crash ...
    alright lemme decide to try again...

    1. I presume you don't use SL or TP ...is that right? or a-T least until specific standards are satisfied, save possibly an emergency stop loss order)...no?

    2. at t n the entry is in draw down permit say.....so now what...you choose another trade,.....lets phone it t 2, after T 1 goes unfavorable? Seems like you will need to whammy a small before the account goes favorable... and then go the complete matter(all locations to an aggregate break-even SL)when the account goes right into a specific % favorable equity... its obscure brother...can you show mo Re just so us non-developers can comprehend...

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