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Thread: Did martingale work for someone?

  1. #21
    Quote Originally Posted by Ladyuvita
    What you explained seem like an effort to integrate genuine trading wisdom and expertise and with it some cause and good sense into trading utilizing martingale. And it of course has a lot of merit.
    lol. that nearly seems just like a poor thing... but only since this location is so back most of the time.

    Quote Originally Posted by Estimate
    Dilemma with it for me is that I would not understand how to make a model of that. Reveal any prospective gambler how dumb of him to believe it provides him any advantage within the home and it is quite simple to create a model of martingale.
    But if you're a trader that currently have an advantage within the market and will rip some pips it is not too insignificant to figure out just how to unite it with progression and simulate.
    I guess it can just come down to operating the trades according to your advantage to get a good sample of trades, obtaining the proper metrics, and after that working it in to these results. for myself, a unique metric worth of 3 3% is of importance to me and retains re occurring without neglect . Occasionally it is just a little more, some times a little less, but typically over time yields to this value. This amount sits right where I assume it to when contemplating a few of the matters marigonpi h AS discussed previously, where there's n one, but I could be producing connections.

    Quote Originally Posted by Estimate
    The items I used to be doing when having fun with it and making some likelihood computations was really fairly fundamental but regrettably I've not got time now to get into in to it - I'm sitting on bags getting prepared to abandon for my holiday. I am extremely sorry.
    The matter is fairly interesting though so in case you are ready to discuss it more I'll be back in a week and we could continue then.
    great cool. So it is likely all lost on me anyhow you almost certainly have mathematics knowledge above my own.

    additionally, I suppose you may be looking into regions similar to myself... that being, risk of damage is where the emphasis should be, but typically is not, and producing a trading frame work surrounding this this is where the celebration is at.

  2. #22
    without realizing the numbers myself.... that all SEEMS correct.

    now, being that some one who h AS a genuinely shitty negative anticipation in trading is most likely going to blowup fairly fantastically s O can not be assisted. When they take as their emphasis under consideration risk of wreck, but some body who's maybe quite moderately or breakeven on the anticipation side of things may possess a shot.

    as mentioned before, trading does not have described beginning and endpoints. Their account or a trader defines this. Considering the apparent case of risk versus benefit, you'll be able to risk 1 unit with all the 'hope' of getting greater than ONE unit... and additional to which you can trail a stop-loss till you eventually get applied for for some level of profit when the market moved in your favor.

    i completely despise the notion of accomplishing this, but if your trader makes progressive stakes afterward they've perhaps not only a possibility of breaking even, they possess the chance of hitting a black swan which goes inside their favor and takes the n'th level of progression trade in to stratospheric profits... just because a trailing stop-loss permits the market to excersice farther in ones benefit.

    using that notion, after that you can begin to get some good idea of your common successful proportion and accommodate the progression for this amount. Should you win around 20% of the time and therefore are about breakeven total and obtaining now here then the way I view it it's that after 3 or 4 unsuccessful trades it could be rewarding upping the trade dimension in prediction of the ultimate victor.... retaining in thoughts that this victor has every chance of being a runner that goes farther than the market generally goes.

    butAgain, you're digging yourself a deeper and deeper hole that you just could not really escape no matter the way you view it. Than to attempt to game the risk of damage facet of trading, it is much better to truly have a positive anticipation and only trade nicely for profits.

  3. #23
    The Martingale Method has a 100% achievement rate, in case your pockets are deep enough. Odds states which you'll eventually produce a trade that is successful and, in case you continue doubling your trade measurements, that win will likely be sufficient to compensate for each of the preceding losses.

    Nonetheless, should you use up all your capital before you get to that winning trade then you definitely will most likely be facing a margin call.

    As my pockets are not limitless (shame about about this), it is not one of the strategies I use

  4. #24
    Arghh, I'm extremely sorry to be answering so intermittently. I have got children all over me constantly and at work I am getting a scrum instruction now, and so I barely have an opportunity to sit down at my work station.
    Quote Originally Posted by khamik
    as formerly mentioned, trading does not have defined beginning and endpoints. Their account or a trader defines this. Considering the apparent case of risk versus benefit, you'll be able to risk 1 unit together with the 'hope' of getting greater than ONE unit... And farther till you eventually get removed for some amount of profit when the market moved in your favor, to which you can trail a stop-loss.

    i completely despise the concept of accomplishing this, but if your trader makes progressive stakes afterward they've perhaps not only a possibility of breaking even, they will have the possibility of hitting a black...
    you're of course course entirely appropriate. And also the form of things you wrote about is precisely what leaves me clueless as to how to even start to compute progression likelihood for forex trades.
    It's all-so discretionary. How do one place it in to mathematic formula E?
    1. Undefined and risk reward ratio that is unstable is one point.
    2. Still still another matter is cherry picking (I'm-not totally certain that it's the proper expression in English) your trades by which I suggest the inclination to employ a growing number of rigorous states while choosing trading set ups as you are getting up your progression ladder. It truly is just natural that higher and higher chance set ups will be picked by your when using advancement as your run lengthens. But the way to produce mathematics of it?
    3. One more matter that honestly makes me want to eliminate myself when I begin thinking about it also significantly is the propensity of your strategy to create runs - winning and loosened. Because this changes between diverse strategies. Some tend to be more prone to create stripes than many others. But to produce a formula from it.

    The only real alternative I've realized so far would be to take this on in a strictly empirical fashion. So: trade utilizing a defined strategy persistently over an amount of time and well examined, creating at least several hundred trades, rather at least thousands of trades. Because martingale isn't the single one, derive important statistical info from the trades you produced and then try and compute whether a advancement may be used to boost your profits and if that's the case how and what type of advancement.
    To be truthful, after I contemplate using advancement for trading in the potential (when I determine that I will eventually trade for actual) I'm thinking more of Leonardo Pisano than martingale. However there aren't any computations behind it... however.

    PS: I do expect my English is bearable in these gildings of mine.

  5. #25
    Marketplaces can remain irrational longer than an invest or can remain in.

    Martingale operates until that ultimate failure. Therefore the only real method to be lucrative is the short-expression stop it and hit it.

  6. #26
    Quote Originally Posted by elasticphoebe
    Martingale h AS one significant difficulty that can't be solved. What actually you set it a-T it is going to have restricted range it may cover. For instance in the event you've 7 amounts the re entry is 100 pips, when the market moves more than 800 800 against you and remains that way and also your account can manage then you're twisted. Irrespective of where you establish your range ultimately it will be exceeded by the market. So regardless of what way you set up a martingale program it has a range that is small and eventually the market will overcome on that range. That's the reason why they fail. The only real method you'll be able to make one...
    Guy...no body could clarify this clearer than you mister

    Martingale operates for some states, perhaps not in every market states. The faults in Martingale happen when you misplaced your consciousness since you might have put so significantly in a pair, to determine the current market state, and scared of losing also significantly on that pair, that is why when the trend h AS transformed clearly you nevertheless guess against it.

    My advice will be to split your account by trading numerous pairs, and don't put all of your cash in a pair. You're able to trade securely with by splitting your current account harmony in to for instance 5, martingale pairs, then for every pair you estimate the most ranges you are able to cover. Recall : martingale isn't a warranty you you may not reduction, you're permitted to choose any losses adapted with current market state. Martingale is around getting price that is better for the places, it can not mean you'll never lose. Martingale offers lots of advantages to you if being compared to the one way in and outside strategies.

  7. #27
    Quote Originally Posted by Ladyuvita
    Arghh, I'm extremely sorry to be answering so intermittently. I have got children all over me constantly and at work I am getting a scrum instruction now, and so I barely have an opportunity to sit down at my work station.

    you're of course course entirely appropriate. And also the form of things you wrote about is precisely what leaves me clueless regarding how to even start to compute progression likelihood for forex trades.
    It's all-so discretionary. How do one place it in to mathematic formula E?
    1. Undefined and risk reward ratio that is unstable is one point.
    2. Still still another point is...
    you've fairly significantly coated it all nicely. bottom line is it is still digging your self a hole that you simply could not have the ability to move out of. Choosing stuff like runs of losses and triumphs, and after that recognizing before your statistics demonstrate a substantial inclination towards a poor anticipation is just another snare, you can even get runs of breakevens.

    in the conclusion favorable anticipation through suitable trading is preferable to attempting to sport the risk of damage facet. otherwise, you will need a huge wad of money to burn along with the capability to perhaps not care that it is likely to all evaporate on a poor run that really doesn't even come great.

    the one thing is, if loading up on a progression plus it eventually occurs to pull-you straight back to the preceding equity large and mo Re you have not really gained considerably... it may be a large sum of money in that outlook, but in conditions of the progression you've just obtained whatever R sum for that degree of progression. If you actually get a progression that reaches this same amount again you do not actually have any buffer... the sole buffer you might have is how far you might have left to really go before blowing up, which will be still exactly the same difficulty as when you begin a progression.

    it is really no approach to get forward, that is for sure. unless you've got a confident anticipation to begin with then you can go for broke and blaze a bit into a larger sum and take the risk with a T least a potential for getting someplace rewarding... but it is no long term strategy for survival.

  8. #28
    Martingale functions for those who really have an infinite bankroll

  9. #29
    Hi again,

    I would like to explain however still another dilemma in the subject of martingale (and all other progression kinds for for instance).
    You have to recall that I'm a newcomer on forex s you've got to bear with me if I'm ignorant of some fundamental material.
    From everything you wrote I comprehended that traders make use of the traders have a tendency to trade from the overall market trend while utilizing martingale in a hope the market will finally turn because it always does and just one reversal move is sufficient to eliminate the complete martingale pyramid and bing the long-awaited profit.
    I need to convey that for me this tactic is total lunacy. Putting aside the proven fact that often there is an opportunity (and it's also normally substantially higher that you'd anticipate) the market will go the incorrect way this one-step past an acceptable limit for the capital, the entire head set up reminds me of these roulette gamblers that suppose that there's a 99% likelihood of reddish on the following twist because the last 10 spins triggered black.
    When I contemplated using martingale for trading my considering was mo Re such as (just an illustration):
    - I possess a strategy
    - My strategy h AS usually risk benefit ratio of 1:1
    - My strategy provides me four sorts of set ups, which according to my statistical computations have the following likelihood: Type-D: 55%, Kind C: 60%, Group B: 70%, Group A: 80%.
    Of course the sort D set up is the most ordinary along with the Group a is the rarest.
    Now, initially I'd choose each of the set ups.
    After 1 losing trade I'd simply search for setups A to C
    After 2 losing trades I'd simply search for setups A and B
    After 3 and mo Re loosing trades I'd simply search for set ups A in order to lessen the period of happening loosing run.

  10. #30
    Among The very best strategies to work with Martingale would be to utilize it as the millimeters procedure in your program backtest. Where it kicks behind, subsequently locate an interval, take a screen dump, and after that utilize that as the evidence of how amazing the system hawk it on ebay.com and is.

  11. #31
    Quote Originally Posted by Ladyuvita
    Hi again,

    let me explain however still another dilemma in the subject of martingale (and all other progression kinds for for instance).
    You have to recall that I'm a newcomer on forex s you've got to bear with me if I'm ignorant of some fundamental material.
    From everything you wrote I comprehended that traders make use of the traders have a tendency to trade from the overall market trend while utilizing martingale in a hope the market will finally turn because it always does and just one reversal move is sufficient to erase the complete martingale pyramid and bing the extended awaited...
    the initial section of your post is talking about grid trading. That is one place that martingale is utilized to stay afloat before the unavoidable awful jog where price moves past an acceptable limit in one single direction in the event the grid is anti-trend trading, or price moves in a range for trading that is also lengthy when the grid is breakout.

    it does not have to be about grid trading. I'd imagine most individuals do not appear a T the market as just a grid. they attempt to discover some pattern/sign to possibly buy, sell, or maybe even remain out for sometime. This can be only some awareness of a special price pattern possibly proceeding some length from some point and really doesn't have to be a grid.

  12. #32
    Quote Originally Posted by khamik
    quote the very first section of your post is talking about grid trading. That is one place that martingale is utilized to stay afloat before the unavoidable awful jog where price moves past an acceptable limit in one single direction in the event the grid is anti-trend trading, or price moves in a range for trading that is also lengthy when the grid is breakout. it can not have to be about grid trading. I'd imagine most individuals do not appear a T the market as just a grid. they attempt to discover some pattern/sign to possibly buy, sell, or maybe even remain out for sometime. this really doesn't have to be a grid and can...
    any folks trading in martingle please con Tact me, I'm confident that is the the greatest strategy to trade

  13. #33
    Does martingale strategy work?

    Response: NO.

    shift on...

  14. #34
    Martingle works. Its 100% warranty. I am not about to state that martingle is the better path to go. Actually if it is avoided by something. To merely say it will not work is not accurate. Martingle comes right down to bookkeeping for the draw-down. Its going to draw-down quickly! Superb quickly. You'll endure for quite a long time in case you possess a sizable account and trade modest enabling chamber. It gets dull that is super and also the returns aren't great in an ROI perspective. Much martingle trading has been done by me. I discovered that I will certainly make more return on investment with means less draw-down searching for 3-1 trade ratios. I've never broken a forex trading account utilizing martingle. Many individuals do. I am convinced if enough time was invested by me I may get get flop an account and a10 trade in AROW reduction because the martingle didnt function but it certainly wont be. It'll be because I didnt have sufficient cash to spot another trade.

  15. #35
    Ok. So that it works but just for the others. Therefore I shan't avert to not abstainning myself attempting something different.

  16. #36
    Go antimartingale: the more equity you've the lower the percent of it do you have to risk to generate the exact same cash: that manner your capital becomes increasingly more protected.

  17. #37
    It Is a great thing to understand how distinct systems/strategies function, when you can implement them (on a demo account of course) significantly better. The point will be to develop your own personal strategy, acceptable for the kind of trading you need to do.

    I believe the style/character of every one of us matters a lot in making a great system that may be lucrative.

  18. #38
    Only since It functions doe not mean its the correct path to consider.

    I've a years-worth of trading martingle on a stay account where I created a whopping 1%. It was more than 600 600 trades. Never had a losing streak more than 6 6, had to insure 10 trades.
    My wining percentage was 46%. This wasn't power system that is martingle.

    I try and offer someone guidance from expertise. Possibly save them a year of trading that is lost.

    You try and produce folks look poor and provide nothing in exchange.

    Oh and before you try and mention, well in the event you'd 46% wining trades you need to be affluent. These were 1/1 ratio trades for the martingle . that is start, strata

    I been working martingle manner before forex. I'd a small horse racing dependence. I looked with odds for horses. Used the start, strata for a couple of years. Till I broken because I didnt have the balls to set in the final wager of 512 dollars on a horse that account made a yield of 3%.

    So please break up what I say again to redirect individuals from really learning something helpful.

  19. #39
    Quote Originally Posted by dugon
    You make an effort to create folks look poor and provide no Thing in return.
    Generally I attempt to to publish constructively (as an example, see post #8 previously in this thread).

    I apologize for almost any violation. I've deleted my prior post.

  20. #40
    Post 8 is a great constructive place. It was examine by me but did not view it it was yours. LOL

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